The global energy demand is growing at a dizzying pace since the 19th century This will change in about 40 years, according to Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.
Demand will peak in the late 2050 and then begin to lose strength with the fall of energy consumption per gross domestic product unit, analysts said Bernstein, including Neil Beveridge, in a statement of 26 August.
Demand growth is already slowing as a result of slowing population growth, weak economic expansion and growth change led by industry for growth led by services, they said.
"This will be a seminal moment in the history of mankind," the analysts said. "Choose the long-term winners in the energy future is never simple, but it's easy to see who will be the loser. No place for energy producers with high costs and large carbon emitters in the world to come. "
Coal consumption probably will peak around 2020 and so will the oil in the 2030s, analysts said.
The transition to natural gas and renewable energy will continue, but the transition to solar and wind energy will take decades.
The pressure to curb carbon dioxide emissions is intensifying, especially after the Paris Agreement, the global treaty closed in December to combat climate change.
There are already signs of stagnation of energy demand growth. The per capita energy consumption may have peaked, says Bernstein.
However, global demand will still grow 30 percent over the next 40 years before reaching the peak, analysts said.
"The obituary of the end energy demand seems premature," the analysts said. "We still need the energy to grow."
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